Last tips

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On first look Berdych has nothing to worry about this one. He is leading with 7-0 in the H2H. He is playing solid tennis and he is in form with 8/2 w/l in the last ten matches (l. to N.Djokovic and R.Federer). In the same time the big serving Czech is looking vulnerable here. In the previous round Monfils retired, Berdych dropped a set against B.Tomic and in the first match of the Czech, in spite of the win with 6-4;6-3 Berdych was broken twice from Hyeon Chyng ou of four break ball chances. Monaco is a fighter and he is former semifinalist here. The Argentinean showed signs of getting back on track with record 8/2 w/l in the lats ten matches. Monaco did pretty good job here and won in straight sets over E.Gulbis, G.Garcia-Lopez and V.Ferdasco. I think here if Berdych is put under enough pressure he could dropped a set and I think Monaco has what it takes to do it.

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This is match from the quarter finals. No matter that Murray is on a flyer with 9/1 w/l in the last ten matches he still dropped a set against Anderson in the previous round and showed nothing extraordinary in the previous matches. Murray likes to play here with two titles and one other final. His weak spot is his serve and if he does not have a day he can be easily broken, but on the other hand he is excellent on return. Thiem is making his big break on hard courts. He has decent result on clay, but for the first time he is reaching so deep on ATP event on hard courts. He has very powerful shots, especially from the forehand and he has great serve. The youngster has nothing to lose and I think he will be quite competitive and we will see 19 games at least in this one.

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Nadal was like machine in Indian Wells, but after all he is three times winner and still lost to M.Raonic after won the first set. Here in Miami he is four time finalist, but I think this will be a burden for him in this match, because A.Murray, K.Nishikori and M.Raonic are too close in the rankings. Almagro is out of form, but he is still very determined and hungry for points. Almagro is trailing with 1-10 in the H2H, but won the last match between them. From those eleven clashes two of them were on hard courts and on indoors in 2009 Almagor did win a set versus Nadal. Almagro has excellent serve and he is competitive enough to challenger Nadal from the base line. I think here Almagro can and will win a set at least.

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This is very tricky match for betting and I am going to play it very careful. Tomic played outstanding tennis in Indian Wells, but granted Djokovic walkover due back problems. He has one week to recover and the fact that he did not even appear in the match against Djokovic is speaking that the problem most likely was serious. Still his recovering may be full and I will continue with the reasoning without counting on that. Tomic is player with great serve and powerful shots from the base line, but if he is facing players, like Krajicek he is always in problems, because Krajicek rarely puts a lot of paste in his shots. Moreover he mixes it up with slice shots. The serve of Krajicek is huge and his left hand is tricky to handle. This will be first match for Tomic here and I expect some problems for him and the American to steal at least a set.

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This is match from the second round. Both players are counting on their huge serve to win easy points. Querrey is in questionable form. He is 4/6 w/l overall record and on outdoors hard courts he is 1/5 w/l. The footwork of Querrey is not that good when he has to defend and his backhand is his weak side. Anderson is little more solid in his performance with record 13/7 w/l overall and 10-6 w/l on hard courts outdoor. He has better footwork than Querrey and the difference between his abilities from forehand and backhand side is little than Querrey’s. The American has won just two wins in the second round here from nine appearances. Anderson has reached the 3rd round here for four consecutive years and he did beat Querrey here in 2012 in the 2nd round. The only thing to limit by stake to 2 units is that Querrey is leading with 8-4 in the H2H. Still the more solid and consist player in the moment is Anderson and I go for his win.

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This is match from the first round. I like the game of both players. Bencic is one of the greatest talents in the women tennis and no matter of her 18 years she is familiar name in the tour. She is great from the base line and has nice shots from both wings but his forehand is really dominating. Hantuchova had modest 2014. but this year she is more than solid and holds record 10/6 w/l with title in Pattaya. She won seven of her last ten matches and only twice did not win a set. Bencic is talented, but she is not consist enough to make a long winning spree and she is just 4/6 w/l in the last ten matches with wins over players in modest form – B. Jovanovski, C.Wozniacki and K.Knapp. Bencic does not have great variation in the game and her motivation and mentality is modest when not facing a top player. I think here we will see closer match than the odds and in my opinion Hantuchova will win a se at least.

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Here I must take this bet, no matter that Beck is not from the players which I evaluate as trustable. Bemelmans is in awful form. He lost his last there matches and allowed to lose at home in Belgium versus modest H.Laaksonen after leading with 2-0 sets. Moreover he was poor versus D.Kutrovsky on Drummondville challenger, he lost the first set in tight battle 5-7 and trashed the Bulgarian in the second with 6-0, but still lost in the decider with 6-2. Beck is player with good serve and stable from the base line. He is also in questionable form, but he won all of the previous matches versus Bemelmans and more important is that he did not drop a single set. The odd dropped down a lot, but form me it still has the necessary value and I go for it.

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Krajinovic is more talented in my opinion than Bolt, but the Serbian is playing very shaky. He is solid from the base lien and can hit winners relative easily, but also his serve is nothing special and his biggest success is on the slower clay courts. Bolt is still seeking for his big break, but he is lefty with bigger experience on hard courts and this year he played semifinal on Happy Valley challenger and final on Burnie Challenger, both on hard courts. Krajinovic on hard court on ATP level is 6-10, on Challenger level he is 10-12 and only on Futures level he is holding positive record 20-11. Bolt is also lefty other than his good form and Krajinovic does not like to play versus lefties- on ATP level he is 1-3, on Challenger level 11-11 and on Futures level 3-5. I think here the match will be rather close and in my opinion Bolt will win a set at least.

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First I want to say that I do not like to get two bets on the same event and especially backing up the same player, but here simply I do not have choice. The main reason to go for money line here is that Bedene won the Irving Challenger yesterday. Something more he played two matches for 22 hours. Someone may noticed that Bedene reached the final in Chennai in the beginning of the year, after starting from the qualifications and he can play a lot of matches in a row, but here the case is different. Bedene traveled over 1300 miles from Irving, Texas to Miami, Florida and for sure the distance and the change in the conditions will matters. Despite of that Bedene showed this year that he is capable of losing in the position of a total favorite more than once this year – vs U.Ignatik, R.Ginepri, A.Krajicek and D.Novikov. Moreover he is facing decent talent who is hungry for success and Jasika is crafty enough and stand better chances than the odds even if without the fact that Bedene is coming from Irving, so I take the money line here with the thought that Bedene may not finish the match.

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This is match from the first round of the qualifications for entering in the main scheme of ATP Miami. Bedene is very crafty opponent on all surfaces, but prefers the slower ones. He throws very little the ball when serve and it is hard to predict the direction and the variation of his serve. His forehand is massive weapon. Still Bedene is player who has some ups and downs in the form and his mentality is not that strong. Jasika is huge talent. He is lefty with good serve and he won the last year US open in Juniors. The Australian is very motivated and he is playing here with wild card. I think the match will be closer than the represented odds and most likely will end in three sets, but I take the handicap for Jasika.

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Well lets hope the crowd will not allowed Djokovic to win so easily as he did against A.Murray. I really expected more form the Scot after he excellent performance in the tourney. Djokovic won relative easily, but the big difefrence between Murray and Federer will be teh serve and etc te hserve and volley which will give a lot of easy points to the Swiss. Lets not forget that Djokovic has two losses this year and one of them is exactly from Federer. Something more the Swiss has already won the title here. Federer is in ten matches winning spree in which he did not dropped a set. Both players are in form and in my opinion it is very likely to see three sets, but due the fact that that Federer won the last meeting in three sets and in the last eleven matches on competitive level(ATP or Grand Slma) Federer has won a set at least in ten of them I think here we should take the handicap for the Swiss.

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This is match from the quarter finals. The odd firstly raise and than dropped down, now it is again it is raising. On first look the form of Nadal is not his optimal and going against him may look good choice. In the same time on surfaces other than grass Nadal is not having such big problems against big serving players like Raonic. The Canadian defend his points here and has nothing to lose, but on the other hand he has never beaten Nadal and in the H2H the result is 5-0 for Nadal and Raonic has won just one set so far. Nadal likes to play here with three titles and the points here are important form him and I think the Spaniard will prevail.

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Berdych is pretty predictable player. He has huge strokes from both sides and his serve is also huge. In the same time he is not feeling very comfortable near the net and he is competitive from the base line only. The Czech is experiencing problems moving forward towards the net. Federer is in excellent form with nine wins in the last ten matches and he is in eight matches spree without dropping a set. I think even for Federer this streak is too long and Berdych looks the man to end it. The Czech won eight of his last ten matches, but even when he lost he won a set. In the H2H the results is 12-6 for Federer. In the last four matches twice Berdych won and in the other two he lost with 2-1. I think here the Czech will win a set at least.

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This is match from the R16 of the Irving Challenger. Muller definitely has the best year of tennis in his career and it is very likely to see new top ranking from the lefty. He is having huge serve and he is already quite competitive from the base line. On the other hand he played modest in his first match here against P.Andujar and only the poor performance of the Spaniard was the main reason Muller to advance further. Kudla is typical player from the American school. He also got good serve and he hits the ball hard from both wings and his main weakness is the consistence. In the only previous meeting Muller won easily with 6-2;6-2 and that is why now he is in the position of complete favorite. In my eyes on US soil Kudla can do some damage to the unmotivated Muller and even to win, but I think the handicap for Kudla as the most reasonable choice.

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This is quarterfinal match in which I have almost no hesitation. Murray faced very tricky opponent in the previous round in the face of Mannarino, but played really well and won in straight sets. More or less the French made it easy for Murray after blew up a break lead in the first set and in the second allowed 0-40 in the fifth game and was broken. The match was decided by the difference in mentality. Here we can say that Murray has strong edge over Lopez due the 10-0 lead in the H2H. On the other hand here the quarterfinal has been past from Murray just twice in the previous nine appearances. Lopez as usual in his style won in three sets in the first two round against relative good opponents – E.Roger-Vasselin and P.Cuevas. In the R16 when he faced top 10 player – Nishikori he was ruthless and won with 2-0. Lopez is passive in the long rallies and he tries to get near the net as soon as possible, but his serve is very strong and has excellent variation. Lopez. The Spaniard not juts defend his points, but improve his points balance with the reaching of the quarter final here, so he has nothing to lose. In the most recent meeting this year in Abu Dhabi Murray won with 2-1 sets and this time I think Lopez will win a set at least.

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Chardy is player with big serve and very powerful forehand. In the same time his footwork is not from the best and when he is not dictating the point, he is quite vulnerable. This Challenger is special, because it is special organized for the players which are eliminated early from the Indian Wells. Darcis already won one Challenger event in Noumea and he has better rhythm of wining matches than Chardy. In the H2H the result is 1-1, but the matches were back in 2007 and in my opinion are not relative. Darcis is player with nice serve and his footwork is excellent. He has all of the shots and he is competitive on all surfaces. Chardy is 5/5 w/l in his last five matches and if we exclude the withdrew of Benneteau in only two occasions in the last ten matches he did nit dropped a set. I think the motivation and determination of Darcis here will be significantly bigger and better and he will win a set at least.

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Well I thought a lot about it and decided to take the bet. Djokovic is the clear favorite here etc, but he wasn’t feeling very comfortable in his last match versus A.Ramos. The Spaniard serve is not that great. Moreover he is base line player and this suits the Serbian perfectly. So the result 7-5;6-3 is quite surprising. Moreover Djokovic was broken twice and made 32 unforced errors against just 18 winners. The Serbian can find his game and win here relative easily, but for me it is unlikely. Isner may look out of form, but he is player which all of his major success is on US soil. Isner won both of his matches so far in straight sets against potentially dangerous opponents, like J.Melzer and K.Anderson. In the H2H the result is 5-2 for Djokovic, but in only two occasions Isner has not won a set. More important is that they met twice here and the result is 1-1, with both matches ended in three sets. The last match between them was here in 2014 and Djokovic won 7-5;6-7;6-1 on the semifinals. In my opinion small bet here on this great odd is a must.

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Thiem is player with great talent. He has powerful shots and great serve, but still failed to made impression on surface other than the clay. Last year ended 19/10 w/l on hard courts, but most of his wins were in qualifications. This year he started very bad and lost all of his matches on outdoors hard courts. Sela is also shaky with record 2/3 w/l on outdoors hard courts, but he is very experienced player. His weak spot is the serve and the moderate paste in the shots. On the other hand he is very consist from back of the court and if he hold on into the rallies longer than 3-4 shots he will be the player in command. I think both players are unreliable and we will see three sets here, still safer and valuable bet is Sela to win a set and I go for it.

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This is match from the first round. No matter that the odds dropped down I still think it have enough value. Gombos is in form and he is 9/3 w/l on hard courts indoors this year with a title in Cherbourg. Still other than his result is France we could not say that he is impressive. He is aggressive player with good footwork. Even in Cherbourg he dropped a set against players, which are fairly no better than Ymer, like M.Teixeira and Al.Sidorenko. Moreover before that he lost to R.Boutillier(No279 in the world) in Marseille, which shows that he is vulnerable. Ymer on the other hand is great talent, especially on clay, but this year he is playing good on hard courts too. He beat indoors J.Melzer for Davis cup and no matter that he lost in straight sets versus A.Haider-Maurer he gained confidence and experienced against good players. I think in this first clash between them Ymer has a chance to win, but in the current circumstances I think the wiser choice is to back him to win a set.

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IMPORTANT NOTE: The start time and date are still to be determined.
This is match from the third round of BNP Paribas at Indian Wells. This is value and must bet. Dimitrov was facing elimination versus Kyrgios. The match was one of the most bizarre that I have ever saw and the Bulgarian was more than modest. There was one break of serve in the second set and it was Dimitrov who broke…but he broke his own serve. The result was 30-40 and 3-4 in the second set, when in three of the next four points the Bulgarian missed overhead smash 1.5 – 2.5 m near the net, made double fault and from clear position missed with more than 50 cm from his best shot the forehand. Kyrgios clinched the second set easily after it. In the decider the thing that saved Dimitrov was the fact that he started to serve firs. By the result 4-4 and 30-40 Kyrgios lost his steps and fell down. The whole court was free and Dimitrov needed just to put the ball in the court and he should won the point. Somehow he put it into the net and Kyrgios had the chances to serve for the match. Still his lacks of experience and the bad judgement not to call the physio by result 5-4 and serve was the main reason Dimitrov to win at the end. The Bulgarian is in doubtful from and I think his confidence is extremely shaky. Robredo is also in questionable form, but he survived against A.Golubev. More important is that he is very experienced with better footwork than Kyrgos. He is tactically well prepared and will push the backhand of Dimitrov constantly until the Bulgarian started to mistake a lot. So far the result in the H2H is 1-1, but the win for Dimitrov was in three sets. Robredo has strong serve and his backhand is for sure better and more consist than Kyrgios's. I think here the chances for win of Robredo are good, but still he has played just seven matches this year 3-4 w/l and I evaluated him as not that trustable. My choice here is little higher stake and the safer handicap for Robredo to win a set.