Last tips

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This is match from the first round of ATP Munich. The odd for Tipsarevic is still worth the shot. Tomic has enough talent to be competitive on all surfaces to the best in the game, but the clay. His shots ate flat and this is not the most suited to the clay. Tomic does not like the clay and his result are pretty clear 15/32 career record. Tisparevic may still be seeking his form, but he was very consist in his last few performances and he holds career record 135/95 w/l on clay. The Serbian is fighter and he is never giving up. He played 4 matches on clay and he likes the long and exhausting rallies. This will be their first meeting and I think on odds higher than 2.00 we should back Tipsarevic.

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This odd is looking ridiculous and it is, but simply I am on opinion that the 20.00 mark is good enough for taking it. Ferrer is one of the real masters of the clay and on first look he should trash Ymer. On the other hand in spite of his huge experience the Spaniard is capable of losing against modest opponents, especially here in Barcelona. In 2013 he was busted from D.Tursunov and in 2014 he was trashed from T.Gabashvili. Yesterday he did beat A.Montanes, but the difference between Montanes and both Tursunov and Gabashvili is that Montanes is softer player than both of them. Ymer is not experienced enough, but his best surfaces is the clay and he has very strong serve and forehand. He survived in both of his matches so far against T. De Bakker and N.Kyrgios, winning from behind. Ymer do more then expected with his wild card and he has nothing to lose here. I think the Swedish is on a flyer and my call is Ymer to bring the biggest upset today.

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This will be exiting match. Simon is total dominant here with three title and from six appearances. He looked in great shape in his last match against D.Ferrer in Monte Carlo and he is 19/9 w/l this year. Moreover he is leading with 6-2 in the H2H, but in those eight matches only twice the win was in straight sets for Simon. Tipsarevic is back after long absence from the courts and he needs as mush as many points that he can otherwise he will be force to play on Challenger level. Tipsarevic has won a match on clay versus Simon and he has won a match here already. I think Simon most likely will win here, but Tipsarevic is a fighter and his serve is stronger than Simon’s so I think the Serbian will win a set at least.

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This is match from the quarter finals and it will be very interesting. Nadal is looking in modest form compared to his performance in the previous few years. Still he is the king of clay and sooner or later he will find his form and will start wining. In the H2H the result is 4-1 for Nadal, but the last meeting was won for Fognini and the win came after the first set was won form Nadal. Fognini is crafty player on clay and he is not afraid to get in long rallies against Nadal. The Italian is pretty modest mentally and he can lose this match with result 6-0;6-1. In the same time he can be quite competitive and pretty solid against players, like Nadal, because the Spaniard likes to work for his points and his serve is not winning him easy points. I think today Fognini will be better than yesterday and will be competitive enough to force 19 games at least.

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I must lay Fognini in this match. More or less the Italian is one of the most dangerous players on clay, when he is in mood and I am not quite sure how he is going to feel today. Otherwise he has excellent footwork and he is excellent in defensive plan. His game near the net is excellent and has excellent dropped shots. Rublev is player with strong base line shots. He is very young and talented. He beat Verdasco very persuasive in straight sets and he has nothing to lose here. Fognini usually is not putting all of his efforts against such youngsters and I remember him last year on ATP1000 Shanghai he lost to Chuhan Wang on odds more than 10.00. I think it will be too much Rublev to win, but I am not excluding this opportunity. I will stop on Asian handicap for Rublev and back him to win a set.

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This is clash between two players from which we can expect everything. Veis is player with modest serve, but strong base line shots and he can be tricky opponent fro almost anyone on Challenger level. In the longer rallies Veic is not that consist and if he is put under pressure he can easily make mistakes. Laaksonen is talented player, but he simply could not realize his big potential. He has good serve and powerful forehand and step in to attack his opponent’s second serve. In the H2H the result is 1-1 and both matches ended in three sets. Laaksosnen clinch two wins from Switzerland for Davis cup(vs R.Bemelmans and S.Darcis) in five sets/ I think the Swiss has what it takes to win a set at least here.
P.S.
The second odd is from Betway.

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I do not like to go for second pick of the same match, but I simply could not pass the good odd here. The main reason to go for the money line is that Andujar is leading with 9-2 in the H2H, which is always a good sign. Andujar know how to handle with Ramos and in spite of his modest form he will play calm and will have mental edge. Ramos is mentally shaky and can easily lost focus especially after he lost nine of the previous eleven matches against his today’s opponent, so I back Andujar to win here.

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This is match from the first round. Andujar is definitely in bad shape with just two wins in the last ten matches. He is crafty clay court player. His weak spot is the lack of consistence and the second sere, which leads to many double faults. He is very aggressive on return and has good game near the court. His opponent Ramos is lefty with good serve and nice forehand. Both players like the long rallies and goes mostly for the top spin. In the moment the yare close in the ranking and in my opinion the match here will be very close and most likely decided in third set. Still I prefer the handicap for P.Andujar.

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This will be interesting match. Cervantes – Huegun is typical clay court specialist with good game form the back of the court, but he is no pusher. He is very aggressive and that is why he is not bad on hard courts too. Delic on the other hand has strong 2014 and his game on the clay was more than solid. He has huge serve and his forehand is very strong. Delic took part in the Croatia’s Davis cup team and gained important experience. If we look in the current form Cervantes – Huegun is with 8/2 w/l in the last ten matches and for the same amount of matches Delic is with just three wins. Still the clay is where Delic is most competitive and Cevantes – Huegun is still lower ranked than the Croatian. I think here the punt is a must.

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I think here Krajicek is underrated. The American improved his game a lot in the last year and now he is on his best ranking on singles and near to his best on doubles (66 in the moment 62 his best). He won his maiden Challenger title on clay and he won the Leon Challenger this month. He has huge serve and can finish off the points well near the net. He is playing solid tennis and stand good chances on US soil. Bagnis is decent clay court player for Challenger level, but he is mentally vulnerable. In the same time his big weapons are the serve and the forehand, but overall he has low variation in his game. This is going to be their first meeting. In my eyes in the worst scenario the odds should be 2.00-2.05 for the American and on 2.19 I do not have hesitations here.

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Olivo is decent player on clay and he is in form this year. Olivo has good serve and forehand, but he often looks out of idea in tough situations and he is typical pusher. In the same time Gonzalez is former No70 in the world. He is also clay court specialist, but has decent amounts of matches on hard courts too 94/63 w/l. In the head to head record the result is 2-0 for Gonzalez. Olivo started from the qualifications and won four matches in straight sets already. In my eyes Gonzalez is the more creative player. Gonzalez boos his confidence with two wins for Davis cup over the brother Cuveas. I think odds higher than 1.65 here deserve the try and I go for win of Gonzalez

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Elias is absolutely bizarre player. He is crafty on both hard and clay courts. His big problem is the lack of focus in the deciding moments. His serve and forehand are ok, but here on the green clay the conditions are very different from the red clay and Elias despite the good career results on clay and hard courts (Challenger level) should experience some problems. Donaldson is the new rising star of USA. He is just nineteen years old, but he showed abilities which can lead him in the first 100 till the end of the season. He is American and for sure is more used with the specific green clay. Moreover he handled R.Stepanek in the previous round. In the same time before the win over D.Novikov in the first round here, Elias has lost six matches in a row. Donaldson already clinched title on the Maui Challenger and I think he will win here.

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This is match from the second round and I must go after win of the Belgian. Tsonga produced some excellent tennis in the past few years, but overall his powerful strokes and attacks to the net he is not that successful on clay. Moreover this year he has played juts three matches and lacks of game practice, which against the world No21 means only problems. Goffin had amazing end of the 2014, but in 2015 he is far away from that level. Still the Belgian has 15 matches under his belt and last year he ended with 28/5 w/l on clay courts. The win of Tsonga over Struff is not speaking enough for me and in my eyes Goffin’s game suits better the clay and that is why I back him to win.

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Well I thought a lot about this bet and I decided to risk with it. Ramos is modest player overall, but his strongest surfaces is the clay. He has good serve and his forehand is excellent weapon. His mental strength is his weak spot and he is fairly unreliable. Still on hard courts in Miami last month he managed to stay close and lost 7-5;6-3. Djokovic is unstoppable, but the Serbian no matter of his experience and success will need time to adjust to the slower surface and he may not be that persuasive in his first match. Moreover Ramos is with three wins here already and has nothing to lose. That is why I go for 17 games in the match at least.

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This will be very unpredictable match and it could go either way. Usually I will go for win of Mayer, but simply even if he is in form he is quite unreliable and now the German is back after long time away from the court. I do not like to back someone in this position, but if we look at his opponent we will see that Youzhny is definitely in modest form with record 4/9 w/l. In the same time Mayer is without match practice, but the chances to be better prepared for this match than Youzhny is good enough. Mayer likes to play on clay and he is leading with 5-3 in the H2H and the German won 2 of the three matches held on clay. In my opinion here the match will end in three sets, but I will prefer the safer Asian handicap for Mayer.

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This is rare gift in my opinion. Kudla is hard court player with huge serve and powerful base line strokes, but his consistence is his biggest problem and when he is involved in long rallies he is vulnerable. Here the clay is rather slow and Kudla is not used with that slower surface. He did beat A.Golubev, but he is fairly unreliable. Ymer is here after C.Berlocq retired, but the Swedish is clay court specialist and he is familiar with the long and exhausted rallies. Ymer gained enough experience with Davis cup and he chose to play here instead of some lower event, which speaks that his confidence is high enough. I think here Ymer should be fair favorite with odds around 1.80 and on this odd I go straight for win of Ymer.

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This is semifinal match and enormous opportunity for Dzumhur. The Bosnian is decent talent and his best surface with no doubts is the clay. Dzumhur is having excellent footwork and he is equally good from both forehand and backhand. His serve is not that strong, but for clay it is ok. Good part of his game is that he attacks the net when needed and he does not stay on the base line only. Dzumhur clinched Challenger title on clay this year and he is 8/1 w/l. Klizan beat out of form Almagro. He has good serve and excellent forehand, but he is playing shaky this year and he is 5/3 w/l on clay and has only one win in straight sets(in the previous round against N.Almagro). Klizan likes to play here, but his overall form is not consist enough for me to be out in the position of complete favorite here. Dzumhur will improve a lot despite the result here and he is very motivated and determined player. In my opinion the odd here for Dzumhur should not be higher than 2.70 and on this odd I see huge value and risk with the maximum allowed stake here for me.

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This is match from the quarter finals and no matter that the odd is raising for Munoz – De La Nava I still have no hesitation in this bet. Ramirez – Hidalgo is crafty player outdoors on clay, but he is almost 37 years old and he is far from his best. This year he is holding record 16/5 w/l on clay, but most of the matches were on Futures level. Here he did trashed B.Balleret and F.Krajinovic, but Munoz De La Nava is very experienced player and he handled very well against tricky opponents, like M.Fucsovics and F.Gaio so far. Munoz – De La Nava is lefty, who is very consist and has great forehand. In the H2H record the result is 4-2 for Munoz – De La Nava and in my opinion on odds higher than 2.00 the value is for the lefty and I take it.

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This is match from the R16 of the Leon Challenger. Ram won the event last year, but I doubted that he is going to have easy times this year and especially in this clash. Ram’s first serve is great weapon and he is crafty near the net. On the other hand in the rallies longer than 4-5 strokes he stays passive and often uses slices, which will give some chances to his opponent in this match. Nguyen is nothing special, but he is in top form and he is player who spends most of his times on the hard courts. He is having excellent footwork and has more balanced shots from both wings than Ram. In the H2H record the result is 1-1 and Nguyen won a set at least in both matches. I think here the odd is great and I back the younger American Nguyen to win a set at least.

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It may look overrated to back Tipsarevic, after long time absence, but the Serbian is one of the greatest fighters in the game. He is former top 10 player and he is crafty on all surfaces. He has solid shots from the base lien and his serve is very good. Giraldo is in great form and his abilities on clay are well known. His footwork is great and his backhand down the line is tricky to handle. On the other hand in the H2H record Tipsarevic is leading with 2-0 and he has not loss a set so far(one of the matches was on clay). Tipsarevic showed his core in the first match and won in the third set tie break and I think he stand nice chances here to, but I will stick with the Asian handicap.