Last tips

Tip Preview:
London Irish v Worcester .This game is a grand Final for both teams especially with tough games comming up home and away for both teams .But if Worcester turn up with the same mentality they did against Gloucester then this +11 start off paddypower is great value .This game should be a real dogfight and with rain predicted all morning conditions should play its part .Worcester lose this game they are as good as relegated so it is my opinion that a +11 start is the value bet here .

Tip Preview:
Here we have the Irish derby game between Connacht and Leinster .Leinster have named a full strenght team with the players that were available to play .I feel Leinster will be looking to avenge their heavy loss here by Connacht last year .I know they will have one eye on the Castres game next week .But from 1 to 23 Leinster just look too strong all over the park .So it is in my opinion that value is with the away team here .

Tip Preview:
Gloucester and Saracens both have important heineken cup games next week .So with Gloucester 18pts ahead of worcester at the moment , they look pretty safe to me .But Saracens on the other hand are top of the table and will show no mercy to Gloucester here .Saracens with Barritt back just look too strong all over the park for me .So it is in my opinion that value is with the away team here .

Tip Preview:
Ulster are back home at their fortress Raven Hill after losing to Leinster away .But they rested players last week and this game was always their target .On paper Ulster look the more balanced side to me with Pienarr ,Afoa,Henderson and Henry back .Munster the league leaders will be no push over but I feel they just have one eye on the game against Gloucester in the Heineken cup next weekend .That Ulster backline just has too much strike power and it is in my opinion that the value is with the home team here in Ulster -5

Tip Preview:
Newcastle are 11pts ahead of worcester and they still have to play worcester at home .So I think they will avoid the drop even if they lose here . Sale on the other hand are a team on the up and with Danny Cipriani and Johnny Leota back they have targeted this game as a win .They gave leicester and Saracens a scare on their last 2 away games and on the last 3 visits here they have been very unlucky not to get a win .So it is in my opinion that the value is with the away team here

Tip Preview:
With Montpellier gone from the heineken cup .All their energies will be focused on the top 14 and making the play-offs . So they will target this game as a win or at least a LBP .Montpellier really clicked last week against Biarritz and are starting to get some good combinations going.It is in my opinion that they will target this game and therefore the value is with the +5

Tip Preview:
This is a must win game for Biarritz who are 13pts behind Bayonne . A loss here would surely be the end for Biarritz and the pro d2 would be a certainty for next season .Biarritz have over come their injury problems and it is in my opinion that any Top 14 team with a +1 start a home is great value and should be snapped up

Tip Preview:
With Racing gone from the Heineken cup .Their main focus will be making the play-offs of the top 14.To do they they must beat Toulon here tonight .And after looking at both teams I strongly believe they can . Racing will have the advantage in the scrum battle and put the team on the front foot .I believe Racing have turned the corner and we will see more evidence of that tonight against Toulon who have injuries to a couple of key players .So the value is with the home team here -2 .

Tip Preview:
Grenoble are at back at home after their away loss to Stade Francais last week . But at home Grenoble are a different animal and have beaten a lot better than this Castres team .With no Kockott ,Classens ,Dulin and Yannick Forestier on the bench. It looks to me that Castres have one eye on the home game against Bordeaux on Friday night in 5 days time .So it is my opinion that Grenoble should win by more than 5pts and deny this weakened Castres team a losing bonus point .

Tip Preview:
Leicester return home to welfare road for this game after record 39pt hiding to Saracens last week .Looking at the teams Leicester with a all international front row and with Salvi back shuld be too strong up front for Sale to cope with .They will be hurting badly after that loss last week .So Im expecting a big response from Leicester here.So the value is in backing Leicester 13+ here .

Tip Preview:
This is a must win game for leinster .A win here will take them to 2nd in the table ahead of Ulster ,Ospreys and Glasgow .On paper Leinster look to have the edge here with Sean O brien back and Mike Ross on the bench also .Both teams have rested players but it seems to me that Ulster have one eye on the Munster game at home next week .So its in m opinion that value is with Leinster -3 here .

Tip Preview:
After their narrow loss in the dying second against Northampton last week .I expect London wasps to bounce back with a win here at Newcastle .With name like launchbury ,Palmer and Haskell in the pack .Wasps just look too strong up front for Newcastle to cope with .Its a must win game for Wasps if they have any ambitions of making the play-offs . So it is in my opinion that the value is with Wasps win @1.80 .

Tip Preview:
Irish derby and we are getting +14 for Connacht against a Munster side missing a lot of regulars .Weather isn't great either and Both teams look pretty equal to me .Connacht haven't beaten Munster since 2008 so it is in my opinion that a +14 start here for Connacht is great value .

Tip Preview:
Okay ..Its a derby game and we are getting a +14 start here for Worcester who at this point need to get something out of this game if they have any hope of avoiding relegation . I feel they have targeted this game more than the visit of Saracens at home next week .Gloucester haven't been in great form either and its in my opinion a +14 start in what should be a tight game is great Value .

Tip Preview:
Saracens who are top of the Aviva table play a Leicester team who are missing 10+ regulars through injury and rest .Leicester are also coming off the back of 2 physical games v Montpellier while Saracens had 2 easy hit-outs v Zebre .So Sarries should be the lot fresher of the 2 teams and look the more physical side to me .No Toby Flood for Leicester is a massive Blow .So it is in my opinion that the value is with Saracens -10 .

Tip Preview:
After the humiliating defeat by Saracens in the Heineken cup last week . Zebre are back in their familiar surroundings of the Rabo .Ulster are missing 14 of their top players for this game through injuries and resting players for next weeks derby with Leinster .Wind and Rain is also predicted for the game in Belfast and I just feel that a +21 start in these conditions is great value .

Tip Preview:
Bath have had 2 weeks to prepare for this clash against Quinns .Its a must win game for Bath who are 3rd on the table and 2pts ahead of Quinns especially with Northampton and Leicester away games to come over the xmas period .Bath are at near full strength also while Quinns are missing the lively Danny Care .It is in my opinion that Bath -2 is the value bet here .

Tip Preview:
So with Montpellier out of the Heineken cup for this season .The top 14 becomes their main target .They have named a very strong line-up here for the derby against Toulon who have quite a few injury problems at the moment .So in my opinion the value is with Montpellier +13.5 .Toulon look tired to me at the moment and could be ambushed here .

Tip Preview:
Exeter will just have too much firepower for Newcastle here . Who lost by 17pts last time at sandy park in 2011 .With 2 away fixtures coming up .Exeter would have targeted this game as a 5 pointer .So in my opinion the value is with Exeter -12 @1.90

Tip Preview:
Here we have a relegation match between 2nd last Oyonnax v 3rd last Bayonne .So its a must win game for Oyonnax and deny Bayonne the Losing bonus point .With Clermont away next week .All of Oyonnax energies will be focused on this match against Bayonne .So In my opinion Oyonnax -7 at home is the value bet here .