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Bills should’ve been on a three-game winning streak if not for a Bryce Brown fumble in the endzone last Sunday. Even with the midseason change at QB their offense is still a work in progress. With the top two RBs out (Fred Jackson played on Sunday but suffered a groin injury and probably won’t suit tonight) there’s no wonder Bills are dead last in redzone offense. But with rookie WR Sammy Watkins back to full strength after a groin injury they regain the explosiveness that was missing against KC.

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There’s only one QB that was able to lead his team to 24 or more points against Buffalo this season. His name is Tom Brady. Houston scored 23 but were aided by e defensive TD. Jets scored 23 but in a blowout. And the bookies expect Ryan Tannehill who will be without his LT Brandon Albert (out for the season with a torn ACL and MCL) to succeed against the top sack defense (34) in the NFL? I’m not sure he'll be able to. Moreover – since Tannehill came to NFL in 2012 he has faced the Bills five times. In those games Miami finished with 14, 24, 21, 0 and 10 points respectively.

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Kelvin Benjamin is responsible for 42.5% of Panthers’ TDs through the air. He has 5 just like Greg Olsen but the latter played so poorly last two games that I don’t have the confidence to bet on him now. Benjamin is a physical freak that will take every jump ball in the redzone. It’s just a question whether Cam Newton will give it enough air time.

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It’s hard to believe but 2013 NFL’s top rusher LeSean McCoy has scored just a single TD this season! Shady had to deal with various injuries to the offensive line that hindered his production. However this week will be the closest to the ideal configuration upfront. C Jason Kelce is finally healthy after a sports hernia surgery and All-Pro LG Evan Mathis will appear for the first time in two months. Last Sunday against Houston McCoy ran for 117 yards and finding the endzone is just a matter of time.

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Niners allowed 28 or more points just twice this season and only once since the middle of September. And it was on a short week when they had to fly from St. Louis to San Francisco and back to Denver as Peyton Manning was eyeing overall record for TDs thrown. Despite that loss Niners are still #2 in yards allowed, #5 against the run and #3 against the pass. And that without All-Pro LB NaVorro Bowman, LB Aldon Smith and LB Patrick Willis. And still bookies expect New Orleans to score at least four TDs against them?

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In the last five contest in Glendale the score went over 43 points just once – in 2012 when Rams’ Janoris Jenkins had two interception returned for TDs. Otherwise totals were 41, 25, 32 (after OT) and 40. It’s a clash between probably the two best defensive lines in NFL so there will little time for QBs in the pocket. And little to no running lanes.

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Broncos were demolished by New England last week and Peyton Manning needs a good game to reassert himself as an MVP contender. Make no doubt – individual accolades mean very much to him! Since Peyton joined Denver he played four times against Oakland and the last one was the only one Broncos did not score at least 34. However that day WR Wes Welker suffered a concussion and was unavailable for the last quarter and Broncos were held without a point. This time everybody’s healthy unlike Oakland as they are down to only two CBs and four LBs.

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There are no previous matches to take into account as this is the first meeting between Duke and Syracuse since 1939. Duke (7-1, 3-1 ACC) is leading the Coastal Division and hasn’t lost since September 29th. Blue Devils are not the most convincing team in the FBS but still find a way to win each week and move towards a ACC title rematch with FSU. Syracuse (3-6, 1-4 in ACC)is practically out of bowl consideration and down to third-string QB Austin Wilson who is 16-of-29 for 178 yards and 2 INTs this season.

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If you discard too-good-for-this-conference Marshall and we-play-only-on-offense Western Kentucky these are the two teams that produce the most points in C-USA. UAB is ranked fourth with 34.6 PPG and LA Tech is just ahead of them with 35.8. There’s additional motivation for UAB as the news came that school board is close to abandon the football programme. Blazers will become bowl eligible with a win. They went over 56 in their last five games and LA Tech did it also in four of their five away matches so far.

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I wasn’t planning to bet on this game until I saw the odds on Jeremy Hill. With Giovani Bernard all but certainly out (did not practice for the second straight week and his foot was placed in protective boot) he will be the main ball carrier for Cincinnati. Hill rushed for 154 yards and scored twice against Jacksonville on Sunday. Cleveland are second from bottom against rushing while Cincinnati are #1 in rushing TDs with 12!

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Toledo is probably the most completed team in MAC. They were snubbed last year from the bowl games and the only way for them to be invited is to win. And win big. At 4-0 they are leaders in West Division, a victory away from being bowl eligible and will face the worst team in MAC and one of the worst in all FBS. Golden Flashes beat Army but in the last match managed just 3 points against 2-7 then Miami (Oh). And currently only winless SMU are ranked lower than them in scoring. Toledo is #1 in scoring offense and they were tied for almost 50 minutes with Big 12’s Iowa State!

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When it’s Manning vs. Brady we should have an offensive explosion, right? This should’ve been the case but Mother Nature decided to dump some snow over Foxboro. Combined with the wind of over 30 km/h this will present a big challenge for both teams. The wind should die down for the second half but until then the air show will be grounded. And the points will be hard to come.

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Minnesota is by far the worst offense in DVOA. Washington will start Robert Griffin III for the first time since the middle of September. I suspect he will need time to shake off the rust. Therefore I’m betting on a low-scoring first half. That was the case in Washington’s last two games and two of Minnesota’s last three.

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According to the stats Eagles are eighth on defense, first on special teams but only 23rd on offense. Chip Kelly has always been known as an offensive mastermind so it’s only a matter of time before the problems are fixed. Eagles welcome back C Travis Kelce who underwent sports hernia surgery and was absent for more than a month. That should help to open lanes for RB LeSean McCoy and ease the pressure on QB Nick Foles. Texans LB corps are hurting as top draft pick Jadeveon Clowney is ill and Brian Cushing is once again iffy because of a knee problem.

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Two weeks ago OSU were ranked #15 and considered one of the biggest surprises of the season. Since then Cowboys lost 42-9 to TCU and 34-10 to West Virginia. QB Daxx Garman threw four picks and just one touchdown in those games as the team has scored only one TD from scrimmage in the last ten quarters of play. Kansas State are three short field goals away from being unbeaten but at 3-0 they sit atop Big 12. Wildcats’ defense is on a roll after shutting down Texas last Saturday. They are one of only eight teams that are allowing less than 100 rushing yards per game and OSU has only two wins in Manhattan in the last quarter of a century!

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Bookies went with the averages on the over/under line but Purdue is a different team since Austin Appleby was installed as a starting QB. Boilermakers were averaging 23.8 PPG before that but scored 38, 31 and 38 in Appleby’s starts. Defense however is still a suspect as only Illinois and Indiana are giving more PPG in Big Ten. Purdue is last against the pass in the conference while having also to account for nation’s top RB Ameer Abdullah (156.1 YPG, 17 TDs). For Nebraska this is a game before the bye-week and what a better way to prepare for the showdown against Wisconsin than an offensive explosion?

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Commander-in-Chief trophy is at stake today. Air Force already beat Navy and a win against Army will allow them to regain the trophy they last won in 2011. Falcons are a win away from being bowl eligible and this is the first of only two realistic shots to reach the magical 6. Both teams rely heavily on the run but Air Force keep something of a balance as QB Kale Pearson have thrown for 957 yards with 7 TDs and just 1 INT. And Army has one the worst defenses against the pass in FBS sitting at #106 allowing 269.6 YPG. Also, only eight schools in FBS Black Knights have allowed more passing TDs than Army (19).

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Since Rex Ryan became Jets’ head coach in 2009 he’s 5-1 at home against the Bills. And every even year he won BIG. I won’t bet on a big win but since Buffalo is short on both RB (Anthony Dixon will start after C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson went on the IR) and WR (Marquise Goodwin did not practice this week, Marcus Easley was once again limited and Sammy Watkins is bothered by a sore groin) and Jets had four more days to prepare I think it’s time to stop the losing streak. They are playing better than the record shows and they won’t give up on coach Ryan.

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Atlanta scored 131 points in their first four games but then the problems with their offensive line became enormous. Falcons are down to their second center and third right tackle. They went in a great funk on offense scoring 40 points combined in the last three weeks and now will face defense #1 in the league! Good luck trying to go over 21.5 points – something that hasn’t happen this month…

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Minnesota is an awfully one-dimensional team – they’ve thrown only 121 passes in seven games which ranks them 122nd in FBS. They are 122nd is pass yards and 125th in pass YPG. But one thing they do good is running the ball. Golden Gophers are 21st in the nation with 46.4 rushing attempts per game and 29th in YPG (222.4) on the ground. Why is it so important? Illinois is ranked 125th defending the run (271.1 YPG) and they allowed 401 yards and 5 TDs against Wisconsin last Saturday. If Golden Gophers have hopes for the Big Ten Final it’s a game they are obliged to win.