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Texas A&M started 6-0 but lost 4 of their next 6 beating only lowly UTSA and New Mexico St. Kansas St. won 5 of the last 6 and clearly has the momentum on its side. Most metrics show A&M advantage and combined with K-State struggles in bowl games under Bill Snyder (1-5) there seems to be no logical reasons to back the Wildcats. But Aggies faded in the second half of the season and personally I'm not sold on A&M QB Trevor Knight.

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Both teams have pretty decent offenses. Washington St. is 14th in the nation in scoring (40.3 PPG) and in each but one of Cougars' 2016 there were at least 58 points scored. Minnesota averaged 30.3 PPG, good for 59th in FBS, despite playing in pretty miserable conditions most of the time. As Quick Lane Bowl showed yesterday if you put two teams into good weather conditions even the best defenses crumble under the offensive fire power.

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RedHawks (6-6) are the clear underdog however on a six game winning streak to reach their first bowl game in six years. Mississippi St. (5-7) reached the bowl season based on their APR ratings. Stats show that Bulldogs are vulnerable against the pass (103th in S&P+, 120th in YPG) and only four teams have given up more TDs through the air. At the same time RedHawks reinvented themselves on offense after QB Gus Ragland came back from a torn ACL with 15 TDs and 0 INTs during the winning streak.

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Initially I didn't plan to bet on this game but MT State is second worst in defense S&P+ among all bowl teams. Blue Raiders are ranked 111th (112th in rushing, 77th in passing and 118th in success rate). MT State is 107th in scoring defense (37.5 PPG) and allowed 31 or more in seven straight games. Hawaii on the other side averages 31.8 PPG at home and this is a real home game for the Rainbow Warriors.

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Todd Gurley is having a terrible season by all standards. But waht about Niners' eun defense? With two games remaining they've already broken franchise record for yards allowed!!! Last week against Atlanta Niners neither wanted nor seemed capable of tackling anybody. The unit has already allowed 22 rushing TDs in 2016. And the only team since Week 2 not to score on the ground was New England. Everybody else did it!!!

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Take it as a test how hot is my streak. In 12 games this season BYU has gone over 7 in Q! just twice: in the notorious shootout against Toledo in September and against FCS Southern Utah. In 13 games in 2016 Wyoming has allowed more than 7 in Q1 twice - in the notorious shootout with UNLV in November and a week later at New Mexico against the famous triple option. The weather tonight in San Diego is very cloudy with expected rain right from the start of Poinsettia Bowl. I hope it will contribute to a sloppy low-scoring game. Plus: both teams rely heavily on the running game. Wyoming is averaging 44.7 rushes/game, BYU - 42.4. And it takes time and chews a lot of clock.

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Two weeks to go and only 4 of 12 playoff spots are filled. Giants will secure at least a Wild Card with a win. New York has lost three of the last four in Philly and has scored seven points combined in the last two. However this is a different team and Giants are probably the hottest team in NFC at the moment. It may not be pretty as the G-Men don't have a running game but the defense is more than capable of stopping the rookie QB Carson Wentz.

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Western Kentucky is second in the nation in scoring (45.1 PPG) and fifth in passing (336.8 YPG). Memphis is 17th in scoring (39.5 PPG) and 20th in passing (294.9 YPG). Western Kentucky plays optional defense. They are fourth in the nation against the run (99.1 YPG) mostly because nobody bothers to run at them. Hilltoppers ranked 110th against the pass averaging 268.7 YPG. Memphis are 83rd against the pass (242.5 YPG) and 85th against the run. And finally: last two Western Kentucky bowl games produced 177 points, while two seasons ago playing in Miami Beach Bowl Memphis beat BYU 55-48. Tonight's game is in Boca Raton. 26 degrees and ready for a shootout.

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Western Kentucky is ranked second in the nation in scoring (45.1 PPG) and put 30 or more on the board in 11 strainght games. They had an uneasy transition from Brandon Doughty to Mike White at QB but since the start of October things clicked perfectly. At the half in the last nine games they were sitting at 30, 24, 20, 52, 24, 35, 31, 41 and 38 points.
Memphis allows 27 PPG on defense but didn't fare well against the spread offense. Tulsa scored 59 (35 in the first half) and South Florida had 49 (21 in the first half).
Finally: Western Kentucky is ninth in S&P+ offense while Tigers' defense is ranked at #60.

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Stats show that Golden Hurricane hasn't got over 21 at halftime in the last three games. However these games were UCF (32nd on defense in FBS), Navy (their rushing game eats a lot of clock) and Cincinnati (I don't have a normal explanation). Before that Tulsa has gone over 21 in 7 of the previous nine games. I'll show a little faith here, they will stop the streak.

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Central Michigan made the postseason with a 6-6 record but just two wins came against teams with winning record. Tulsa finished 9-3 with losses only to ranked teams. Golden Hurricane is 11th in the nation in scoring, Central Michigan is 75th in S&P+ on defense and their special teams are fourth from bottom. What to like in Chippewas?

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Nobody knows what team will Chargers send on the field today. They'll have rokkie Kenneth Farrow (125 yards in 11 games) at RB. They are sending people to the IR in alarming rate. And after the recent developments Chargers' relocation to LA is all but sure. San Diego plays for nothing, Oakland is tied for first in ASFC West. Who has the bigger motivation?

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Miami moves into a Wild Card position with the win. Despite QB Ryan Tannehill out with a sprained knee Dolphins have a backup with a lot of experience. Matt Moore will make his first start since 2012 but has a solid ground game and a top defense against basically a rookie QB Bryce Petty, a backup RB Billal Powell and a lot of missing starters. And take it as you like but the Madden 17 simulation ended in a 49-7 Miami win. FYI, last week the simulation was right in Petty beating SF although in OT!

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The Bison has never trailed at home at halftime in 2016. Even in their loss to South Dakota State in October. They were tied with Charleston Southern back in August but this was Easton Stick still learning to be a starting QB. James Madison crushed FCS offense #1 last week but Sam Houston State were too one dimensional to compete. The Dukes have never played in such environment (20 000 screaming fans in Fargo Dome) so it will take time to adapt if they do it at all.

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The start of the bowl season AKA The Most Wonderful Time Of The Football Year. Lobos are playing ij just thier third bowel game in the last decade beating Nevada in 2007 and losing against San Jose St. in 2006 and Arizona last year. Lobos are #1 in the country in rushing offense (360.9 YPG, 45 TDs) and on top of that - they are playing at home! New Mexico's previous six games in 2016 at University Stadium ended with 48, 48, 21 (against 19-ranked Boise St.), 59, 35 and 26. Of all 80 bowling teams UTSA is third worst in advanced metrics. Roadrunners are ranked 120th in defensive S&P+. Plus: this is their first trip to a bowl game ever.

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Blount is a score away from tying Patriots single season rushing TD record that stands for two decades. Belichick rewards loyalty and a prime time game in front of a national audience is the perfect time to do it.

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I'm confused with the line. Vegas usually gives 3 points for home filed advantage but Buccaneers are favored by just 1.5 points today. So according to bookies the Saints who hasn't beaten a team with a winning record in 2016 will do it against Tampa Bay, winners of four straight and tied for first place in NFC South? Nah, I'll go with the hot team.

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The Notorious scrambler Tyrod Taylor averages 39.1 YPG and 57.7 YPG at home. It's snowy in Buffalo today and when we talk about league's best ground attack after all.

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Quaterfinal of FCS playoffs. Two teams that love playing defense. Penguins however should profit from the terrible cold while Wofford coming from South Carolina is not that accustomed. Youngstown State eliminated last year's runners-up Jacksonville State winning 40-24 away from home while Wofford squeaked past Charleston Southern 15-14 and in a defensive struggle edged out The Citadel 17-3. Forgive me but on collegiate level you have to play some offense to be successful and that's what Youngstown State does.

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At 5-7 New Orleans need to win 2 out of 4 remaining games. They will play twice the division leaders Tampa Bay (7-5), travel to Arizona (7-5) and Atlanta (7-5). The Saints are 1-6 against teams with a winning record in 2016 and to win two without their best defender S Kenny Vaccaro who got suspended until the end of regular season for substance violation is highly unlikely.