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A total pitching mismatch. Marcus Stroman (5-3, 3.30 ERA) against rookie Lisalverto Bonilla (0-2, 6.17 ERA). Blue Jays were dragged back to .500 at home after yesterday's loss against Texas but they have 27 points higher BAA in night games (like today) versus day games (like yesterday). While Reda are #1 in day games but 38 points lower in night ones.

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Two of the best scoring teams in May (Rangers 4.99 RPG, Blue Jays 4.98 RPG) and two bad starting pitchers. Mike Bolsinger is 0-2, 6.32 ERA and A.J. Griffin was hit heavily two straight starts. Tonight he'll have two additional problems: Josh Donaldson and Troy Tulowitzki were just activated form the DL!

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Red Sox starter Eduardo Rodriguez is 3-1, 3.10 ERA, unbeaten since April 8th and is facing a team batting .215 (third worst in majors) against lefties. Boston is 15-8 at home, Seattle is 8-18 away even after yesterday's win in Washington. And Mariners starter Yovani Gallardo has a 4.43 ERA in away games and 6.75 in night starts.

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Yankees killed Jason Hammel last week (6 IP, 9 hits, 5 runs) and being the best scoring team at home (6 RPG) it's time to step up after last night's debacle. Luis Severino starts for the Yankees. 23-years old Dominican is 2-2, 3.64 ERA for the season but has a negative split at home - 1-2, 5.09 ERA in four starts at Yankees Stadium.

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Giants have scored 3 runs in 9 of their last 12 games. Cubs has allowed 3 or more in 17 of the 19 games they played in May. And after his hot start Jon Lester is 2-2 with a 4.89 ERA.

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Rockies killed Jerad Eickhoff last year at home and on a tear they are at the moment (47 runs in last six games after facing Kershaw) it's hard to bet against them. They are fourth in scoring in May, third in BAA, third in hits and face a pitcher with a 6.86 ERA in the last month,

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Rockies, the fourth highest scoring team in May (106 runs in 19 games), having third best BAA (.281) playing in a bandbox against a fly ball pitcher (Jerad Eickhoff) with a 4.53 ERA (6.86 in last four starts). I see this as a present by the the bookies.

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Terry Collins will become Mets all-time leader in games managed tonight. This will be his 1013th and it will be broadcasted nationally. I don't expect anything but a Mets win because players love Collins. And they face a one-trick pony team. Mike Trout is the only quality player Angels have this series as Albert Pujols won't play because of no DH rules.

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Reds' starters have the worst ERA in majors (5.69) and Tim Adleman is a big reason for that. The veteran has completed six innings only twice this season and Pittsburgh (May 4th) is the only team that hasn't put at least 2 runs on the board at the end of the fifth inning. Overall in 2017 he is 2-2 with an ERA of 5.27
Rockies will start Antonio Senzatela who is the second best supported pitched in baseball with 7 RPG.

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After 12 relieve appearances Erasmo Ramirez makes his first start of the season. 27-years old Nicaraguan allowed 3 runs in 4 innings already this season against Yankees already and has a career ERA of 9.58. Yankees are ranked sixth in majors with 3.00 RPG in innings 1-5.

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I can't understand what's up with these odds. They started at 1.69 but climbed by 11% in the last hour...
Rangers start Andrew Cashner who is 0-3, 2.43 ERA because of the total lack of run support. In his previous six starts the score after five innings was 0:0, 0:0, 1:8, 1:2, 2:0, 1:1.
Phillies' starter Zach Eflin is not so stingy (0-0, 2.81 ERA) but in his five previous starts the score after five innings was 1:2, 0:0, 3:1, 3:3, 3:3.
And in May Rangers despite the recent winning streak are still batting only .240 while Phillies have a .261 BAA.

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The odds started at 1.95 and already down more than 8% I won't hesitate further. Cleveland starter Danny Salazar is having a bad year (2-3, 5.20 ERA, 1.57 WHIP). He gave up at least 2 runs in first five innings in 6 of his seven starts in 2017. And Rays are fifth in the league (2.98 RPG) in runs scored in innings 1-5.

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Angels' starter Jesse Chavez had two bad outings in 2017 (both against Texas) and one bad relief appearance in an extra innings game against Toronto. Apart from that he spots a 2.35 ERA.
White Sox will start Mike Pelfrey. There was a time when he was a serviceable pitcher. But after the Tommy John surgery in 2012 he's 15-40 with a 5.64 ERA. in 2017 Pelfrey is 0-3 (5.21 ERA) and Sox won only one of his starts. Outside Chicago Sox are batting .229 (good for 23rd) with just over 3.5 RPG. They had an enormous outburst yesterday scoring 8 runs in an inning but to say they are inconsistent will be a compliment to them.

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Padres are the second worst hitting team in the majors against lefties - .203 BAA, .275 OBP, .592 OPS. And while Jose Quintana is far from his best in 2017 he lowered his ERA by almost two points in his last three starts. At the same time Padres' starter Jered Weaver 22 runs (17 earned) in 12.2 IP for a 12.41 ERA.

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Mike Fiers doesn't look like a guy able to prolong Yankees losing streak. He's to prone to HRs (14 in 30.1 IP) and Yankees are tied for first in HRs hit at home. Plus it's the day when the Yankees retire Derek Jeter's number. With all the vibes at the stadium I'll bet on them not to spoil the party of the Captain.

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Diamondbacks are first in BAA at home (.301), averaging more than 6 RPG. Pittsburgh will start converted reliever Trevor Williams who on Monday gave 8 runs (6 earned) in just three innings.

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Two pitchers with bad seasons. Tigers' Jordan Zimmermann has a 6.21 ERA yet he's 3-1 because of the enormous run support - 7.83 RPG, best in majors. Angels' Matt Shoemaker is 1-2 with a 5.21 ERA but 7.36 in home games. Add in the fact that Detroit have the worst bullpen in MLB with a 5.79 ERA plus the return of Miguel Cabrera and Mike Trout and I think a lot of runs will be scored.

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Tigers' starter Jordan Zimmermann has the most run support by any pitcher in MLB. The team has scored 7.83 RPG in his starts mostly against aces of other teams! Miguel Cabrera is back and on the mound Detroit will face Matt Shoemaker - owner of a 5.21 ERA including whooping 7.63 at home.

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Strange line. Matt Harvey is a mess after splitting with Adriana Lima. He was roughed two times in a row by Atlanta, got suspended last Sunday and will pitch for the first time in ten days. After the latest surgery he's no longer a strikeout pitcher but is pitching to contact which requires steady defense behind him. Mets with the constant reshuffling of the infield are anything but one. And the bullpen is yet again in disarray after the news that closer Jeurys Familia has a blood cloth in pitching shoulder that may require a surgery.

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Toronto is averaging only 7.85 hits per game but they finally started swinging the bats. Blue Jays are facing Chase de Jong who has a 1.58 WHIP even after facing two of the worst offenses in the league (Oakland and Texas). Mariners bullpen is giving up more than 3 hits per game too.