Experience - I have been watching football matches since I was a child. Also, I have a great passion for statistics and math. During college I was introduced to online betting, and my first experience was in a sports betting exchange. I saw in betting a great opportunity to join my knowledge about sports and my ability with numbers and from that start I've been studying and developing my own method to calculate the probabilities and project the lines.
Strategy - I work mainly with Brazilian Leagues in asian handicaps and goal lines. My method is based on quantitative and qualitative analysis. First I use some metrics to calculate the expected goals and define the chances. In the second part I perform a subjective analysis about the match. For every event I check the quality of the teams, missing players, motivation, objectives and news. All that information is added to the chances through a penalty/bonus system. With these values I project the lines (usually before Asian markets are available) and compare them with the odds offered by the bookies. This is how I work to make sure that every tip I post has expected value in long term.
Stake System - 1-3 units
Why did you choose TipstersPlace.com - I am satisfied with my results so I decided to share my bets with others investors. I've asked other professionals about TipsterPlace reputation and I was told they do a very serious work
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January was really bad and I only had few tips then. I decided to get a break, watch matches and do...More from Arto Anttila